64-Team World Cup Simulator
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Pot 1 & ranking points
Brazil 1854
Belgium 1845
France 1814
Italy 1768
Argentina 1751
England 1745
Spain 1709
Netherlands 1692
Switzerland 1671
Portugal 1664
Denmark 1647
Germany 1645
USA 1636
Croatia 1633
Sweden 1617
Mexico 1598
Pot 2 & ranking points
Uruguay 1594
Colombia 1575
Wales 1574
Japan 1561
Senegal 1560
Serbia 1559
Algeria 1544
Poland 1540
Austria 1538
Australia 1535
Chile 1532
Iran 1528
Czech Republic 1523
Peru 1522
Morocco 1519
Russia 1505
Pot 3 & ranking points
Hungary 1504
Tunisia 1503
Rep. of Ireland 1490
Nigeria 1489
Korea Rep. 1486
Qatar 1486
Jamaica 1473
Costa Rica 1472
Saudi Arabia 1471
Turkey 1471
Canada 1463
Cameroon 1462
Egypt 1458
Ghana 1457
Mali 1450
Venezuela 1447
Pot 4 & ranking points
Northern Ireland 1446
Burkina Faso 1409
Slovenia 1392
Panama 1389
Iraq 1387
UAE 1385
Bolivia 1373
El Salvador 1359
Curaçao 1339
Lebanon 1288
Bahrain 1273
Kyrgyz Republic 1260
Guinea-Bissau 1209
Equatorial Guinea 1198
Philippines 1155
Vanuatu 1050
Group 1
1Spain 6
3Tunisia 4
4Bolivia 4
2Czech Republic 3
Avg. Ranking 1527
Group 2
2Iran 7
1Portugal 6
3Turkey 4
4Guinea-Bissau 0
Avg. Ranking 1468
Group 3
2Chile 7
1Mexico 4
4Northern Ireland 3
3Egypt 3
Avg. Ranking 1508
Group 4
2Peru 9
4Lebanon 4
1Netherlands 3
3Hungary 1
Avg. Ranking 1501
Group 5
2Algeria 9
1Brazil 4
3Rep. of Ireland 3
4UAE 1
Avg. Ranking 1568
Group 6
1Sweden 9
2Uruguay 3
3Korea Rep. 3
4El Salvador 3
Avg. Ranking 1514
Group 7
3Ghana 7
1USA 5
2Wales 4
4Kyrgyz Republic 0
Avg. Ranking 1482
Group 8
1Argentina 9
3Costa Rica 4
4Burkina Faso 4
2Russia 0
Avg. Ranking 1534
Group 9
1France 9
2Serbia 3
3Qatar 3
4Curaçao 3
Avg. Ranking 1550
Group 10
1Italy 9
2Senegal 4
3Saudi Arabia 4
4Vanuatu 0
Avg. Ranking 1462
Group 11
1England 9
3Mali 6
2Poland 3
4Philippines 0
Avg. Ranking 1472
Group 12
4Iraq 9
2Austria 4
1Switzerland 2
3Cameroon 1
Avg. Ranking 1514
Group 13
1Denmark 6
2Colombia 5
3Nigeria 4
4Panama 1
Avg. Ranking 1525
Group 14
4Slovenia 7
2Australia 4
1Croatia 4
3Canada 1
Avg. Ranking 1506
Group 15
1Belgium 9
2Japan 4
3Jamaica 4
4Equatorial Guinea 0
Avg. Ranking 1519
Group 16
1Germany 9
2Morocco 6
3Venezuela 3
4Bahrain 0
Avg. Ranking 1471
Pot 1 & ranking points
Belgium 1858
Brazil 1831
France 1830
Italy 1784
Argentina 1769
England 1761
Spain 1705
Germany 1667
Pot 2 & ranking points
Portugal 1660
Denmark 1649
Sweden 1645
USA 1636
Mexico 1589
Colombia 1582
Algeria 1582
Uruguay 1574
Pot 3 & ranking points
Japan 1558
Peru 1557
Chile 1555
Senegal 1554
Iran 1548
Serbia 1547
Austria 1536
Australia 1531
Pot 4 & ranking points
Morocco 1527
Tunisia 1506
Ghana 1484
Costa Rica 1477
Mali 1464
Iraq 1435
Slovenia 1427
Lebanon 1306
Group 1
1England 7
2USA 6
4Morocco 2
3Peru 1
Avg. Ranking 1620
Group 2
1France 9
2Uruguay 4
3Serbia 4
4Mali 0
Avg. Ranking 1604
Group 3
4Iraq 7
1Germany 6
3Chile 3
2Algeria 1
Avg. Ranking 1560
Group 4
2Portugal 6
4Slovenia 5
1Brazil 4
3Japan 1
Avg. Ranking 1619
Group 5
1Spain 9
2Mexico 6
3Austria 3
4Lebanon 0
Avg. Ranking 1534
Group 6
1Argentina 7
2Sweden 5
3Iran 4
4Ghana 0
Avg. Ranking 1612
Group 7
1Italy 9
2Colombia 4
3Senegal 3
4Costa Rica 1
Avg. Ranking 1599
Group 8
4Tunisia 7
1Belgium 6
3Australia 2
2Denmark 1
Avg. Ranking 1636
England def. Uruguay
Slovenia def. Iraq
Spain def. Sweden
Italy def. Belgium
France def. USA
Portugal def. Germany
Argentina def. Mexico
Tunisia def. Colombia
England def. Slovenia
Spain def. Italy
Portugal def. France
Argentina def. Tunisia
Spain def. England
Argentina def. Portugal
Argentina def. Spain
This simulates a potential 64-team World Cup, which I developed because the 2026 World Cup format is so terrible. It assumes the World Cup could be expanded by having a winter-summer competition with the first competition being a round of 64 where the top two teams in each group advance to the second round. FIFA rankings were used from December 2021 and are updated after each match and can change between the seeding of the first and second rounds. The winner of each match is simulated using ELO (a rating system best known for chess) and the FIFA rankings. Pots are seeded using FIFA rules (no more than one team per continent in each pot, two for Europe) unless this is impossible (most common 17+ UEFA teams qualify for round two), in which case it will ignore continental restrictions (only really a problem for the second round.)

The first round features the following number of teams: 12 CAF (Africa), 12 AFC (Asia), 8 CONCACAF (North America), 7 CONMEBOL (South America), 1 OFC (Oceania), 22 UEFA (Europe), and two play-off winners. Qualifying rounds were designed to evenly distribute teams into group stages which look as similar as possible to the current setup - the biggest place this varies is in North America. A preliminary round is also run for the lowest ranked teams in each continent.

The preliminary round features the highest ranked unqualified team in each continental region, except for South America (8th placed) and Oceania (runner up). These matches are then drawn randomly with two teams receiving a bye.
Simulate Again!
Qualifying Rounds
1 Switzerland 22
2 Turkey 14
3 Cyprus 10
4 Iceland 8
5 Latvia 3
1 Portugal 19
2 Russia 16
3 Bosnia & Herzegovina 12
4 Belarus 8
5 Andorra 1
1 Hungary 18
2 Denmark 16
3 Albania 10
4 North Macedonia 9
5 San Marino 0
1 Netherlands 22
2 Northern Ireland 14
3 Serbia 14
4 Kazakhstan 4
5 Bulgaria 3
1 France 24
2 Czech Republic 16
3 Finland 10
4 Georgia 9
5 Liechtenstein 0
1 Belgium 22
2 Wales 15
3 Greece 13
4 Luxembourg 4
5 Lithuania 4
1 Italy 22
2 Sweden 19
3 Norway 12
4 Armenia 4
5 Azerbaijan 1
1 Spain 18
2 Austria 17
3 Slovakia 14
4 Montenegro 7
5 Gibraltar 0
1 England 19
2 Slovenia 14
3 Scotland 13
4 Estonia 9
5 Malta 1
1 Rep. of Ireland 19
2 Croatia 19
3 Ukraine 10
4 Israel 6
5 Moldova 4
1 Germany 17
2 Poland 15
3 Romania 12
4 Kosovo 5
5 Faroe Islands 4
1 Vanuatu 9
2 New Zealand 9
3 New Caledonia 5
4 Samoa 4
5 Papua New Guinea 1
1 Solomon Islands 12
2 Tahiti 9
3 Fiji 4
4 American Samoa 3
5 Tonga 1
1 Brazil 44
2 Argentina 36
3 Uruguay 25
4 Chile 24
5 Colombia 23
6 Venezuela 22
7 Bolivia 20
8 Peru 18
9 Ecuador 17
10 Paraguay 16
1 Jamaica 39
2 Mexico 31
3 Haiti 24
4 Antigua & Barbuda 20
5 Bermuda 15
6 Puerto Rico 12
7 Aruba 10
8 Montserrat 6
1 USA 36
2 Curaçao 31
3 Honduras 25
4 St. Kitts and Nevis 24
5 Cuba 12
6 Barbados 11
7 US Virgin Isl. 10
8 Guyana 7
1 Canada 34
2 Panama 32
3 Guatemala 27
4 Suriname 23
5 British Virgin Isl. 13
6 Grenada 11
7 St. Vincent & the Grenadines 10
8 Dominica 9
1 Costa Rica 36
2 El Salvador 31
3 Trinidad & Tobago 27
4 Nicaragua 27
5 St. Lucia 11
6 Cayman Islands 10
7 Belize 9
8 Dominican Republic 6
1 Morocco 13
2 Zambia 10
3 Libya 9
4 Botswana 3
1 Egypt 13
2 Cabo Verde 11
3 Comoros 5
4 Niger 3
1 Tunisia 13
2 Central African Republic 12
3 Kenya 10
4 Burundi 0
1 Equatorial Guinea 13
2 Congo DR 10
3 Madagascar 9
4 Liberia 1
1 Ghana 16
2 Uganda 7
3 Tanzania 5
4 Mozambique 4
1 Senegal 15
2 Congo 10
3 Malawi 7
4 Lesotho 3
1 Nigeria 15
2 Benin 12
3 Namibia 9
4 Gambia 0
1 Guinea-Bissau 13
2 Côte d'Ivoire 10
3 Sudan 9
4 São Tomé & Príncipe 3
1 Mali 16
2 South Sudan 12
3 Mauritania 4
4 Togo 3
1 Burkina Faso 12
2 South Africa 11
3 Rwanda 7
4 Sierra Leone 3
1 Cameroon 16
2 Gabon 11
3 Ethiopia 4
4 Angola 3
1 Algeria 18
2 Zimbabwe 8
3 Guinea 4
4 Eswatini 4
1 Australia 30
2 Kyrgyz Republic 21
3 Oman 16
4 Turkmenistan 8
5 Bhutan 6
6 Afghanistan 5
1 Saudi Arabia 26
2 UAE 24
3 Palestine 13
4 Tajikistan 13
5 Maldives 8
6 Indonesia 3
1 Japan 28
2 Philippines 16
3 Kuwait 12
4 Vietnam 11
5 Uzbekistan 11
6 Singapore 7
1 Iraq 24
2 Iran 21
3 Jordan 18
4 Korea DPR 17
5 Guam 4
6 Malaysia 2
1 Qatar 28
2 Bahrain 18
3 Thailand 14
4 China PR 12
5 Myanmar 6
6 Timor-Leste 5
1 Lebanon 24
2 Korea Rep. 20
3 India 18
4 Syria 14
5 Hong Kong 4
6 Sri Lanka 3
OFC Final
Vanuatu def. New Zealand
Intercontinental Playoffs
Peru def. Oman
Serbia def. Côte d'Ivoire
Peru def. Honduras
Serbia def. New Zealand